Author Topic: Bundesliga (Germany) previews  (Read 882 times)

Corner-stats_support

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Bundesliga (Germany) previews
« on: June 03, 2020, 02:28:50 PM »
03/06/20. Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt. Bundesliga (Germany). Goals, corners, cards, shots.

More and more football championships are resuming after the quarantine, which makes it possible to see more good football and also make money on it.
Today, Corner-stats.com team will try to make a profit on the match Werder Bremen - Eintracht, which will take place on the evening of June 03 as part of the 24th game week of the German Bundesliga 1 (postponed match).
We will analyze the main markets, corners, cards, as well as shots on target and all shots (you can bet on shots at Bet365 bookmaker, including live). Both teams won in their previous matches, so they approach the game in a good mood.

Main markets

We note immediately an interesting fact that this season in Bundesliga-1 Werder is the worst team at home field (1 win, 3 draws, 9 losses), and Eintracht is the worst team at away (3-1-10). At the same time, Werder at home is doing particularly badly in the 2nd half (-1.08 avg. goals difference against -0.54 in the 1st half). But Eintracht on the road falls more in the 1st half (-0.64 avg. difference against -0.5 in the 1st half). Bremen has terrible statistics on the intervals of a match when the team is winning (1 goal scored and 16 goals conceded), and plays best when a match is a draw (goals difference 21-21). Eintracht, on the contrary, shows the worst result if a match is a draw (14-22 goals), but if Eintracht starts to win, then the game starts to go much easier for the team (13-8 goals).
Handicap 0 for Werder in the 1 half 2.04 Pinnacle
If Werder starts to win, we bet on Eintracht's handicap

Corners

Both teams deliver corners much better at home than at away - for Werder Bremen +1.38 difference on corners at home and -2.67 at away, Eintracht +4.07 and +0.07 respectively. We also note that Eintracht has the second best difference on corners (after Bayern) on intervals when the team is losing in a match (+4.3).
Handicap on corners +0.5 for Werder 1.9 Bet365
If Werder begins to win, we bet on Eintracht's handicap on corners

Cards

The referee for the match P. Ittrich has played 8 matches in the Bundesliga-1 this season and has the second highest total cards of 5.50. But at the same time in the 1st half P. Ittrich is in no hurry to show cards (1.50 avg. total), but in the 2nd half he is the leader on cards (4.00). The Corner-stats.com team also found an interesting fact: if Werder Bremen is winning the match, the total number of cards rises sharply to 6.90.
If Werder begins to win, we bet on total cards over.

All shots and shots on target

Recall that you can bet on shots before the match or during the game at Bet365, as well as other popular bookmakers. Corner-stats.com team drew attention to the fact that Werder Bremen and Eintracht have one of the highest totals shots in the 2nd half (15.82 and 15.5 for all shots and 6.39 and 5.61 for shots on target). In addition, Eintracht has the highest total shots on target in the league on intervals when the team is winning in a match (12.11). But if Werder Bremen is winning, total shots on target is only 8.19.
If Eintracht starts to win, we bet on total shots on target over.



We hope this review will be useful to you. Enjoy watching the match!

Corner-stats_support

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Re: Bundesliga (Germany) previews
« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2020, 04:49:08 PM »
Stats analysis in live using the Match Intervals tool (using the example of the Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 28/11/2020 match)

The Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all football statistics fans! Many of our users ask us to explain how the Match Intervals tool works (when a team is winning, playing a draw or is losing). The Corner-stats.com team reminds that this tool allows you to analyze the statistics of teams during a match (in live) and find bets with a good value.

Probably, you have repeatedly met tables of match intervals on different sites of football statistics, that is, how many goals (corners, cards, offsides ...) were there at different intervals of a match (from 0 to 15 min, from 16 to 30 min, etc.). ). These tables are also available on the football statistics service Corner-stats.com. But you must admit that these statistics are not very informative, because team's play in a match does not depend on the minute of a match, but primarily on whether it is winning, playing a draw, or losing during a match. It is these statistics that the Match Intervals tool can display on the tournament or team page at Corner-stats.com. Also, the Match Intervals tool contains additional options: winning or losing with a certain handicap, counting intervals from a certain minute of a match and statistics on the intervals when a team or an opponent was sent off. Read more about this here: https://corner-stats.com/match-intervals-filter-functionality-expanded/info/313

Let's consider the usage of the filter on the example of the German Bundesliga match Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt (28/11/2020). Let's enter Union and Eintracht Frankfurt stats pages and generate team statistics in order of win, draw and lose intervals (based on the last 20 matches):

- when there was a draw in a match:

Goals (Handicap & Total) Corners Cards Offsides
Union Berlin +0.11 2.48 +0.69 9.85 -0.32 3.13 +0.69 4.35
Eintracht -0.29 2.41 +2.50 10.98 -0.48 3.18 -2.28 4.15

- when the team was winning:

Goals (Handicap & Total) Corners Cards Offsides
Union Berlin +0.96 3.26 -0.82 9.47 -0.95 4.79 +0.82 2.47
Eintracht +0.45 4.09 -0.23 7.95 -0.23 7.49 -1.27 4.31

- when the team was losing:

Goals (Handicap & Total) Corners Cards Offsides
Union Berlin -1.80 4.50 +0.69 9.86 +1.57 4.74 -1.61 3.44
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.38 4.55 -0.57 11.93 +0.76 5.30 +0.22 7.37

Thus, we can draw the following conclusions:

- the teams score little (play carefully) when there is a draw in a match (2.48 and 2.41 total goals), and are activated when one of the teams leads the score during a match;

- Union Berlin has a clear tendency to score even more if it is winning during a match, and concede even more if it is losing;

- Eintracht most actively takes corners when there is a draw in a match (+2.5 difference), and if it is winning in a match, there is a tendency to decrease the number of corners (7.95 total);

- Union delivers corners always approximately the same, regardless of the score in a match;

- Union gets a lot more cards than the opponent when the team is losing (+1.57 difference) than when they are winning (-0.95);

- if Eintracht Frankfurt is winning, there is a significant increase in total cards in a match (7.49);

- Union gets offsides much more than the opponent if it is playing a draw or is winning in a match (+0.69 and +0.82), and if it is losing, then it has almost no offsides (-1.61).

We hope that with the help of this preview from the Corner-stats.com team, you will discover new possibilities for analyzing statistics and will be able to find bets with a good value in live. We also draw your attention to the fact that the Match Intervals filter belongs to the live tools of the Corner-stats.com service and is available for free for goals (after registration), and for all other indicators in package from 15$/month: https://ru.corner-stats.com/pay?package=001