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Messages - Corner-stats_support

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31
The 3rd reason why you could be losing at football bets is a lack in Probability theory knowledge.

If you are looking for bets that "100% win", not paying much attention to the probability of the event occurring you will not succeed. We assure you that learning the basic concepts of probability theory (probability, variance, margin, correlation, etc.) will give you many insights.

Read about all reasons of losing at football betting as well as ways to overcome them at https://corner-stats.com/betting-on-football

32
Discussions about the football matches / Re: National teams previews
« on: November 13, 2020, 02:58:19 PM »
15/11/2020. Belgium - England (UEFA Nations League). Comparison of League A national teams

The Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all users of our service and is in a hurry to share a new statistical preview. You may not really like the breaks in clubs competitions due to national teams, but we assure you that national teams games can also be just as exciting and profitable.
Consider the Belgium vs. England match on 15/11/2020 in the 5th round of the Nations League group stage. The teams play in League A (the strongest national teams) and are currently fighting for the 1st place in the group.
In order to analyze the statistics of teams in the first 4 matches, on the Nations League tournament page, we will use the filter by stage and select only League A:



Now we can compare teams of the same level (only from League A), which makes much more sense than comparing all teams together.
So, here are some interesting statistics from Belgium and England in comparison with all 16 teams in League A:



Goals:
 - Belgium has the highest team total goals: 2.5 (10 goals in 4 games)
 - England have second lowest total goals of the whole match: 1.25 (5 goals in matches)
 - Belgium has the highest total goals in the 1st half: 2.25 (9 goals in 4 games)
 
Corner:
 - Belgium lost on corners in 3 of 4 matches in the 1st half (-1.0 avg. difference)
 
Cards and fouls:
 - Belgium has the second lowest total cards of the whole match: 1.75 (7 cards in 4 games)
 - in the matches of Belgium there was not a single card for other reasons, except for a rough foul (disputes with the referee, simulation, time wasting, etc.)
 - 8 of 17 cards in England were shown in the interval 31-HT (47.1%)
 - Belgium has the lowest total fouls for 2 teams: 16.25
 - England have the best fouls-to-cards conversion (4.3 fouls per 1 card)
 
Shots:
 - England has the lowest total shots on target for 2 teams: 5.25
 - Belgium won on all shots in 4 of 4 games (+6.0 avg difference)
 
 Other:
 - Belgium has the lowest total tackles for 2 teams: 20.50
 - England has the second lowest total tackle for 2 teams: 21.00
 - England leads by wide margin in team total longballs: 82.5
 - England won on throw-ins in 4 of 4 matches (+7.5 avg difference)
 
We hope you found our new preview interesting and can benefit from it. You can find more useful thoughts on national team matches and football statistics in general in our group on Telegram: https://twitter.com/Corner_Stat/




33
Football statistics and trends / Re: Football stats infographic
« on: November 12, 2020, 11:44:03 AM »





34
Football statistics and trends / Re: Football stats infographic
« on: November 11, 2020, 11:14:17 AM »





35
Discussions about the football matches / Re: EPL (England) previews
« on: November 06, 2020, 12:32:12 PM »
Odds calculation on corners for Chelsea - Sheffield United match

The Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all football statistics fans. Last week, our service was replenished with a new statistics analysis tool Bookmakers line calculation https://corner-stats.com/a-tool-of-bookmaker-line-calculation-developed/info/337 . And today, with its help, we will try to calculate the line on corners in the match Chelsea - Sheffield United.

Sheffield managed to tackle points at Chelsea last season (2-2 draw), but Chris Wilder's team is in terrible shape right now, making Chelsea the clear favorite in the match.

So, let's open the Corners tab on the match page https://corner-stats.com/chelsea-sheff-utd-07-11-2020/premier-league-england/match/339981 and go to the last matches of the teams. The button for calculating the bookmaker's line is located on the right next to the table of contents of Chelsea matches. By default, the individual totals of the teams (expected corners) are taken to calculate the line:
Expected corners Chelsea = Team total Chelsea + Opponents total Sheffield / 2
Expected corners of Sheffield = Team total Sheffield + Opponents total Chelsea / 2

But first, let's correct the teams' match samples. We will exclude the group of tournaments Other (clubs friendlies), and take only home matches for Chelsea, and only away matches for Sheffield. Thus, we get a couple of expected corners of the teams 6.15 - 4.25, which will be used by default in the calculation of the line:



In addition, Corner-stats.com draws your attention to the fact that Sheffield has the best ratio of team possession to team corners this season in EPL (1.87% possession per 1 corner), so we will add another 0.25 corners to Sheffield. Thus, we have the following line on corners in the match Chelsea - Sheffield United:



So, we got a base total of 10.5, like the bookmakers, but the base handicap of -1.5 differs from the bookmaker's one (-3.5), which says to bet on +3.5 on corners.

Please note that in this line calculation, we took into account the field (home-away) factor, as well as the Sheffield's ball possession to corners ratio. But there may be other important factors for you, for example, you can calculate the line based on similar matches or limit the samples of matches to the current season only, or increase the expected corners of one of the teams manually (for example, due tothe presence of high forwards in the lineup).

Discuss the match Chelsea - Sheffield United you may in our group in Telegram https://t.me/soccer_stats_and_bet. Have a nice football!

36
Football statistics and trends / Re: Football stats infographic
« on: November 05, 2020, 02:24:26 PM »









37
About Corner-stats.com service / Re: Corner-stats.com service updates
« on: October 30, 2020, 03:28:22 PM »
A tool of bookmaker line calculation developed

Corner-stats.com team presents a new tool of our service - Bookmaker line calculation for upcoming matches.

At the moment, the line is calculated for goals and corners, respectively, to use this tool, click on the "Сalculate line" button on the match page on the Goals or Corners tabs. Line calculation is the calculation of the odds for the outcome, double chance, handicap and total based on team statistics (average team totals). The line is calculated based on H2H, last or similar matches of teams. In addition, you can customize the selection of team matches using quick filters before calculating the line.

Please note that you can also enter custom data (expected goals/corners of teams) in the line calculation window. Also, for the convenience of our users, we made it possible to adjust the margin, which is different for different bookmakers (by default, the margin is 5.26%).
We hope you find our new tool useful. In the near future, we will use examples to describe in more detail the Line Calculation tool. Follow the announcements!


38
Football statistics and trends / Re: Football stats infographic
« on: October 28, 2020, 11:22:45 AM »










39
Overview of the Russian Premier League (comparison with the previous season)

The team of experts from Corner-stats.com has once again prepared an interesting preview for all fans of football statistics. Today we turned our attention to the Russian Premier League, because the RPL teams have already played 11 rounds, which is quite enough to identify fresh statistical trends.
Read more: https://corner-stats.com/overview-of-the-russian-premier-league-comparison-with-the-previous-season/info/333


40
Discussions about the football matches / Re: LaLiga (Spain) previews
« on: October 16, 2020, 03:07:14 PM »
Celta Vigo - Atletico Madrid (Primera Division). 17/10/20. Tips for live betting.

The Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all football statistics fans.

The matches of the national teams are over, and we are waiting for the next rounds in the national championships. It's no secret that most of the bets are made by bettors in live. Service Corner-stats.com offers a unique tool for analyzing statistics Match Intervals. Recall that the Match Intervals filter allows you to analyze the statistics of a team on the intervals when it was winning, was playing a draw or was losing (for more details, see here: https://ru.corner-stats.com/match-intervals-filter-functionality-expanded/info/313 ).



Consider the Spanish LaLiga match Celta vs Atletico Madrid on 17/10/2020. The teams did not change coaches before the start of the season, so we can assume that their style of play has not changed in the last 30 matches. So, let's analyze how the teams played at different intervals of a match.

Read more: https://corner-stats.com/celta-vigo-atletico-madrid-primera-division-17-10-20-tips-for-live-betting/info/332


41
The second reason why you could be losing at football bets is the selection of BETTING MARKETS.

Majority of newcomers in football betting place theit bets on the main markets (outcome, handicap, total), but at the moment bookmakers are increasingly offering to bet on many other markets - corners, cards, shots, fouls, throw-ins, goal kicks and others. At the same time, the line at additional markets is usually weaker than at the main ones, which makes it easier to gain an advantage there.

Read about all pitfalls in football betting and how to avoid them at https://corner-stats.com/betting-on-football


42
If you want to succeed in betting on football you should avoid common mistakes which the most of newcomers do. Why you keep on loosing?

The major reason is common statistics. You analyzed team statistics using well-known sites, which is already taken into account in the bookmaker's line, so this way you did not get an advantage over the line. What is the solution? Use specialized football statistics and unique statistics analysis tools can help you get the edge over the line.

There are other reasons too. You can learn more about it at the https://corner-stats.com/betting-on-football

43
About Corner-stats.com service / Re: Corner-stats.com service updates
« on: October 13, 2020, 03:30:58 PM »
Filter of goals scored by different parts of the body of a football player

The Corner-stats.com team presents a new statistics analysis tool - a filter by goals scored by different parts of a player's body.

This filter can be found on the tournament page under the Goals tab. You have the opportunity to choose one of 4 options for goals scored: right foot, left foot, head or other parts of the body. In addition, you can combine options (choose several), forming, for example, the statistics of teams' goals scored only with the left foot or head. Also, as usual, this filter can be combined with the main filters on the tournament page (seasons, team field, tournament stages, date from to, etc.).



How can these football statistics come in handy? First, it allows you to understand better the team's play style. Secondly, many bookmakers offer bets on whether a goal will be scored by one or another body part in a match.



We hope you will be interested in our new functionality and will use it constantly. If you have any questions or suggestions for improving the football statistics service Corner-stats.com, you can write them in our group in Telegram https://t.me/soccer_stats_and_bet

44
Football statistics and trends / Re: Football stats infographic
« on: October 13, 2020, 11:59:48 AM »









45
About Corner-stats.com service / Re: Corner-stats.com service updates
« on: October 12, 2020, 08:54:16 AM »
WHY YOU COULD BE LOSING AT FOOTBALL BETS

If you have already tried to bet on football, then you probably understand how difficult it is to achieve a positive result in this field of activity. Based on years of experience, we have compiled the main reasons why you could be losing on football betting.

COMMON STATISTICS

You analyzed team statistics using well-known sites, which is already taken into account in the bookmaker's line, so this way you did not get an advantage over the line. Specialized football statistics and unique statistics analysis tools can help you get the edge over the line...

Read about 6 reasons why you could be losing on football betting at https://corner-stats.com/betting-on-football

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