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16
Football statistics and trends / National teams preview
« on: September 02, 2020, 02:36:34 PM »
Preview of national teams before the matches in UEFA Nations League (03-08/09/2020)

Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all football fans and football statistics fans!
In the coming days, the European national teams will finally enter the field for the first time in 10 months, and they will do so in the framework of the League of Nations football tournament.
So, the national teams did not play in official or friendly matches in 2020, so we will analyze their statistics based on the qualifying matches for EURO 2020 (or already EURO 2021).
But first of all, we want to highlight 2 important factors for the upcoming matches. The first is, as we have already noted, a long break in the matches of the national teams, the second is the off-season in many European championships. When the Corner-stats.com team analyzed the English Premier League matches after the quarantine, we noted a decline of almost all indicators of teams (shots, corners, fouls, tackles ..) and, accordingly, the lowest pace of the game. If we add to this the fact that many players are now on vacation (in an incomprehensible form), we can assume that the play in the upcoming matches of the national teams also will be not very active, especially in the first half.
Since it is not clear which team is in what shape at the moment, this situation adds uncertainty to the outcome of the matches, so we think this is a good opportunity to catch a high odds on the winnings of outsiders.
To analyze the statistics of teams within the qualification for the European Championship-2020, we refer to the tournament page on the Corner-stats.com website  (we remind you that access to goal statistics, including goals by halves, intervals, as well as to the Profit from bets table and Basic handicap covering table is FREE for all our users, just register).



The Corner-stats.com team primarily wants to admit the Belgium national team. The team won all 10 matches in the group and also won all 10 first halves, 10 out of 10 matches on shots on target, 9 out of 10 matches on all shots and 9 out of 10 matches on corners. In addition, Belgium finished the qualification for the Euro with the lowest average team total cards (0.6). But among the roughest teams are Azerbaijan and Hungary. In addition, we draw your attention to the national teams of Estonia and Bulgaria, which have created the most offsides for their opponents (3.38 on average, actually at the level of Klopp's Liverpool).
If you do not want to risk too much, then wait for the second round of the League of Nations (in 4 days), when the alignment of forces will become clearer based on the matches of the 1st round.
We hope our preview was helpful to you and you can benefit from it. Have a nice football!


17
Discussions about the football matches / Serie A previews (Italy)
« on: July 24, 2020, 07:00:56 PM »
Stats analysis of Genoa FC before and after change of the coach

Corner-stats.com team is back in touch!
This year, "thanks to COVID-19," in the height of summer, we have many football matches and opportunities to earn money on them.
Today we will demonstrate how to use the statistics analysis tool of the Corner-stats.com service Filter by the current coach. And let's do this using the example of the Genoa football club, which at the end of 2019 changed its coach (Thiago Motta was replaced by Davide Nicola).
To use the filter by the current coach, you need to go to the team's match page, in this case Genoa plays with Inter on Saturday 25/07 (https://corner-stats.com/genoa-inter-milan-25-07-2020/serie-a-italy/match/322520). The filter by the current coach is located on all statistics in the quick filters block:



So, in the 2019/20 season, Genoa played 19 matches under the current coach (Davide Nicola) and 19 matches under the previous coaches. Let's compare the team's performance before and after the change of coach:

         Goals       Goals 2 half       Corners      
Previous trainers    1.26 2.0    0.63 1.37       5.26 4.79    
Current coach       1.47 1.63    0.68 0.84       4.0 4.79    

         Cards       Fouls       Shots on target
Previous trainers  3.0 2.58    15.32 13.95    4.16 5.32
Current coach  2.74 2.79    16.11 14.26    4.58 5.0


         All shots    Offsides    Possession    Throw-ins
Previous trainers  12.72 15.67    1.47 1.32    55% 45%    22.29 18.53
Current coach  10.11 14.05    1.74 1.37    46.5% 53.5%    19.61 19.11

As you can see from the table, the change of coach went to Genoa's favor, the team began to score more goals and concede much less, especially in the 2nd half. Genoa's team totals of corners, all shots, offsides and throw-ins have decreased, and the team has significantly less possession of the ball. This suggests that with a new coach, Genoa usually gives the initiative to an opponent and plays more on counterattacks. Despite this, the team had an increase in the average number of shots on target, as well as a slight increase in the number of offsides. In addition, we draw your attention to the fact that Genoa started to foul a little more, but at the same time gets fewer cards.
We hope this analysis was useful to you, and you will be able to draw the correct conclusions based on it. Have a good football!

18
Discussions about the football matches / Ukrainian Cup previews
« on: July 08, 2020, 12:22:05 PM »
08/07/2020. Dynamo Kyiv - Vorskla. Cup (Final). Base handicap covering

Corner-stats.com team is back in touch!
Today, using the example of the final match of the Ukrainian Cup between Dynamo Kyiv and Vorskla, we will show how to use the tool of our service Winning on the base handicap.
Recall that the base handicap is the handicap of a match, where the odds on the handicap of the teams are the most equal, that is, the chances of winning and losing on handicap are close to 50/50.
You have the opportunity to compare the teams for wins or losses on the base handicap on the tournament page. You can also analyze these statistics on the team page, and on the match page this can be done in terms of H2H, last or similar matches.
So, back to our match. According to the Handicap table of the Ukrainian Premier League tournament, the teams are not very successful in breaking the base handicap in the current season, being at the bottom of the table. But in the teams' H2H matches, the statistics are completely on the Vorskla side - the team won on the base handicap in 12 of the last 16 head-to-head matches:



We also draw your attention to the fact that in the last match of the championship against FC Lviv Vorskla played as a youth team (the average age of the players was 19.2 years!) to save energy before today's decisive match in the cup.
Based on the above, the Asian handicap +1.5 for Vorskla at odds of 1.825 looks like a good bet. Have a nice football evening!

19
Portuguese Primeira post-quarantine preview + teams motivation and coach change factor

We welcome all football fans in anticipation of a new football weekend!
In the Portuguese championship, 5 game weeks were played after the quarantine pause, and 5 game weeks are remaining until the end of the championship, that is, we can say that the championship is at the equator of the post-quarantine period.
The Corner-stats.com team decided to review Portuguese Primeira, based on:
 - statistical trends after the quarantine
 - teams motivation at the end of the season
 - the impact of the change of team coach during the season.

So, let's compare the statistics of Primeira in general before and after the quarantine. As you already know from our previous preview, for this you need to use the filter by date on the tournament page on Corner-stats.com website:



                                 Goals   1 half  Corner Cards On target Offsides Fouls
Before the quarantine   2.42    1.08   10.40   5.54    7.75        3.80   31.47
After the quarantine     2.64    1.33    10.56  5.62    7.80        3.53   35.11

Surprisingly, unlike the Premier League of England, in the Portuguese championship almost all the indicators of the teams uncreased (though slightly). Especially we want to pay attention to the increase in the number of fouls.
If we talk about the motivation of the teams, then it should be noted the lack of motivation for Aves, who no longer has a chance to stay in Primeira, and 3 teams in the middle of the table - Moreirense, Boavista, Santa Clara, who have almost no chance of both flying out and getting into the zone of Eurocups.

Lastly, we list the teams that changed their coaches during the season (recall, you can use the filter for the current coach on the match page on the Corner-stats.com website):

 - Maritimo (change of coach after game week 11)
 - Vitoria Setubal (change of coach after game week 11)
 - Pakosh Ferreira (change of coach after game week 4)
 - Portimonense (change of coach after game week 20)
 - Boavista (change of coach after game week 24)
 - Braga (change of coach after game week 14)
 - Aves (change of coach after game week 11)
 - Belenenses (change of coach after game week 16)
 - Moreirense (change of coach after game week 14)
 - Sporting (change of coach after game week 12)

We draw your attention to the teams of Portimonense and Boavista, which changed their coaches recently.
We hope you find it interesting to read our preview and it will help you find good bets on matches of the Portuguese Primeira. Have a good football!


20
Discussions about the football matches / EPL (England) previews
« on: June 18, 2020, 01:47:21 PM »
Manchester United 30-0 record on the intervals when the team was winning

Greetings to all football fans! We hope you did not miss the return of the English Premier League, because yesterday the Premier League teams held their first matches after the quarantine.
 
In March, the Corner-stats.com team wrote about very interesting statistical trend for Manchester United team, namely, how the team plays when it starts to win in a match. Today we want to talk in more detail about this, because on Friday 19/06/2020 Manchester United will hold its first match after the quarantine.
 
So, in the last 24 matches, after Manchester United began to win in a match, the team scored 30 goals, without losing a single goal!
 


We believe that this achievement is primarily a consequence of the correct work of the team coach Ole Gunnar Solskjer. The total amount of time when Manchester United was winning and at the same time didn't concede a goal is 818 minutes!
 
Consider the last matches of Manchester United:
 
 - 12/03/20 against Linz: Manchester United started to win on the 28th minute, after this the team scored 4 more goals and did not concede a goal;
 - 08/03/20 against Man City: Manchester United started to win on the 30th minute, after this the team scored 1 more goal and did not concede a goal;
 - 05/03/20 against Derby: Manchester United started to win on the 33th minute, after this the team scored 3 more goals and did not concede a goal;
 - 01/03/20 against Everton: there was no interval in the match when Manchester United led the game (this match does not count).
 
Recall that to analyze team statistics at intervals, when it was winning, playing a draw or losing, is possible with the tool Match intervals of the service of football stats Corner-stats.com.

We hope this review has been helpful to you. If you also found interesting statistical trends, you can share them on our forum.

21
Bookmakers / Bet365
« on: June 17, 2020, 11:56:25 AM »
A lot of top football clashes are going to be held today!

Corner-stats.com team prepared the summary of matches with bets on football stats at the most popular bookmaker of the world Bet365:

Corners, cards, shots on target, total shots, tackles, offsides:
17/06/20 17:00 Aston Villa - Sheff Utd (EPL)
17/06/20 19:15 Man City - Arsenal (EPL)

Corners, cards, shots on target, total shots:
17/06/20 16:30 Eintracht Frankfurt - Schalke (Bundesliga I)
17/06/20 18:30 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz (Bundesliga I)
17/06/20 18:30 RB Leipzig - Fortuna Dusseldorf (Bundesliga I)

Corners, cards:
All Bundesliga I matches
All LaLiga matches
17/06/20 19:00 Napoli - Juventus (Coppa Italia)

Corners:
Almost all matches

22
Preview of AC Horsens (Denmark): prematch and live bets

Congratulations to all fans on the new football weekend!
Today, the Corner-stats.com team decided to analyze the team Horsens, which plays in the Danish SuperLeague. According to the results of the first stage of the championship, the team took 8th place and fell into one of the groups of 4 teams that will fight for survival in the SuperLeague, and also have a chance to get into Europa League. On Saturday, June 13, Horsens will play their first match against Hobro at away.

General trends

First, let's pay attention to some statistical trends of the team following the results of the 1st stage of the championship. So, the team was in the middle of the table, but at the same time it took the last place on shots on target (4 wins, 5 draws, 17 losses), and also has one of the worst differences in possession of the ball (-11.54%). In addition, Horsens has the smallest total offsides of the entire match (2.69) and the smallest team total offsides (1.38).

Main markets

Using the filter Match Intervals, we analyze how the team plays with different outcomes of a match. So, according to statistics, Horsens shows the best game if there is a draw in a match (+0.15 avg. difference, 2.89 avg. total). Corner-stats.com website has an additional opportunity to limit the intervals of a match starting from the selected minute. Thus, if we consider the intervals when the match was a draw after the half-time break, then we get avg. difference of +0.71 at avg. total of 3.56. From this it is logical to conclude that Horsens does not seek to save a draw and plays to win. On intervals, when Horsens is winning in a match, we see a completely different picture: 2.02 avg. total and -0.67 avg. difference, that is, the team goes into the dead defense after scoring a goal, but still often misses it. Also, things are not very good for the team if it starts to lose in a match (-1.66 avg. goal difference, 2.84 avg. total).



Corners

The use of the Match Intervals filter for corners confirms the fact that the team plays defensive football if it starts to win in a match (-3.61 avg. difference on corners, 13.5 avg. total on corners). But if a match is a draw or Horsens is losing, the statistics on corners are approximately equal (-0.09 average difference on corners, 10.13 average total on corners).

So, we analyzed the Horsens team for pre-match bets, as well as bets during the game. We hope that it will not be difficult for you to draw the right conclusions based on this analysis and to benefit from it. Also, do not forget that 2 teams play in a football match, and it is advisable to conduct a similar analysis for the opponent.

Have a nice football weekend!

23
Discussions about the football matches / LaLiga (Spain) previews
« on: June 11, 2020, 08:54:59 AM »
Spain LaLiga is back today! Get some exclusive stats trends about today's match Sevilla - Real Betis :

• The referee Antonio Miguel Mateu Lahoz has the highest total cards in the 1st half this season in LaLiga (2.86)
• Sevilla has the highest positive correlation of +0.85 between team crosses and team corners (that is, if Sevilla makes a lot of crosses, then the team gets a lot of corners, and vice versa)
• Real Betis has the highest opponent's total offsides on the intervals when there is a draw in a match (4.08)

Full advanced stats for the match can be found at https://corner-stats.com/sevilla-real-betis-11-06-2020/primera-division-spain/match/316383



24
03/06/20. Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt. Bundesliga (Germany). Goals, corners, cards, shots.

More and more football championships are resuming after the quarantine, which makes it possible to see more good football and also make money on it.
Today, Corner-stats.com team will try to make a profit on the match Werder Bremen - Eintracht, which will take place on the evening of June 03 as part of the 24th game week of the German Bundesliga 1 (postponed match).
We will analyze the main markets, corners, cards, as well as shots on target and all shots (you can bet on shots at Bet365 bookmaker, including live). Both teams won in their previous matches, so they approach the game in a good mood.

Main markets

We note immediately an interesting fact that this season in Bundesliga-1 Werder is the worst team at home field (1 win, 3 draws, 9 losses), and Eintracht is the worst team at away (3-1-10). At the same time, Werder at home is doing particularly badly in the 2nd half (-1.08 avg. goals difference against -0.54 in the 1st half). But Eintracht on the road falls more in the 1st half (-0.64 avg. difference against -0.5 in the 1st half). Bremen has terrible statistics on the intervals of a match when the team is winning (1 goal scored and 16 goals conceded), and plays best when a match is a draw (goals difference 21-21). Eintracht, on the contrary, shows the worst result if a match is a draw (14-22 goals), but if Eintracht starts to win, then the game starts to go much easier for the team (13-8 goals).
Handicap 0 for Werder in the 1 half 2.04 Pinnacle
If Werder starts to win, we bet on Eintracht's handicap

Corners

Both teams deliver corners much better at home than at away - for Werder Bremen +1.38 difference on corners at home and -2.67 at away, Eintracht +4.07 and +0.07 respectively. We also note that Eintracht has the second best difference on corners (after Bayern) on intervals when the team is losing in a match (+4.3).
Handicap on corners +0.5 for Werder 1.9 Bet365
If Werder begins to win, we bet on Eintracht's handicap on corners

Cards

The referee for the match P. Ittrich has played 8 matches in the Bundesliga-1 this season and has the second highest total cards of 5.50. But at the same time in the 1st half P. Ittrich is in no hurry to show cards (1.50 avg. total), but in the 2nd half he is the leader on cards (4.00). The Corner-stats.com team also found an interesting fact: if Werder Bremen is winning the match, the total number of cards rises sharply to 6.90.
If Werder begins to win, we bet on total cards over.

All shots and shots on target

Recall that you can bet on shots before the match or during the game at Bet365, as well as other popular bookmakers. Corner-stats.com team drew attention to the fact that Werder Bremen and Eintracht have one of the highest totals shots in the 2nd half (15.82 and 15.5 for all shots and 6.39 and 5.61 for shots on target). In addition, Eintracht has the highest total shots on target in the league on intervals when the team is winning in a match (12.11). But if Werder Bremen is winning, total shots on target is only 8.19.
If Eintracht starts to win, we bet on total shots on target over.



We hope this review will be useful to you. Enjoy watching the match!

25
Football statistics and trends / Football stats infographic
« on: January 14, 2020, 10:05:05 AM »


26
About Corner-stats.com service / Corner-stats.com service updates
« on: August 29, 2019, 03:05:05 PM »
Corner-stats.com is a service of professional football statistics which can help you to get an advantage over the bookmaker.

Pay your attention that Corner-stats.com is NOT a website of betting tips sale. The only place where you can find our betting tips is the Previews section, where about once a week the Corner-stats.com team publishes football games previews with recommendations for betting on football stats. We do the previews primarily to show in practice how to use our service.

For whom the Corner-stats.com football statistics service can be useful:
  • football bettors who want to make money on it
  • football journalists to use unique statistics in their materials
  • football fans to share football statistics with friends

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