EURO 2020 play-offs. Important points and tips

The Corner-stats.com team welcomes all football fans again!
The national teams will play the decisive matches of Euro 2021 qualifying today, which were supposed to take place in the spring, but have been postponed due to the quarantine.
So, let's note the important points in the upcoming matches:
1. Teams will have to play a knockout match with extra time and penalty kicks if required. 8 winners will play in the 2nd round on November 12, where 4 teams will be determined that will go to the Euro. Based on this, a tough fight can be expected, especially in the second half, if one of the teams will be winning. Red cards are likely.
2. VAR will be present at the matches. This means increased probabilities of penalties and sent-offs in matches, because now the referees cannot miss them. Also, in our opinion, VAR reduces the number of offsides, because the referee does not whistle offside until the end of the attack and it can be missed.
3. Based on the importance of the first goal scored or conceded, it can be assumed that the teams will start the game with caution. In addition, we would like to draw your attention to the fact that a lot of teams with low total goals of the 1st half (in group matches) got into the playoffs: Ireland (0.38), Northern Ireland (0.75), Georgia (0.88), Norway (0.9) , Macedonia (0.9), Iceland (1.0), Slovenia (1.0), Belarus (1.0).
4. In Sofia (Bulgaria) and Oslo (Norway) rain is expected according to the weather forecast. Based on this, teams can use more long shots and crosses.
We hope this information was useful to you and you can benefit from it. Have a nice football!

24/09/2020. AC Milan - FK Bodø / Glimt (Europa League). Corners evaluation based on indicators relations

Corner-stats.com expert team is back in touch!
Following the start of the new football season in most countries, games have also begun in Champions League and Europa League tournaments, where qualifications are currently taking place. Teams from different European countries compete in these tournaments, so it is not so easy to assess the teams' chances by different statistical indicators.

In this preview, the Corner-stats.com team will try to evaluate the corners using the example of Milan - Bode/Glimt (Europa League) match. If we look at the summary tables of the Italian Serie A and the Norwegian Eliteserien, we get the following average team corners: 5.51 for Milan (previous and current seasons), 6.67 for Bode/Glimt (current season). But, as you understand, this information in our case is not informative, since the championships of Italy and Norway are at different levels.
The Corner-stats.com team suggests using the tool Relations of indicators of the site Corner-stats.com to estimate corners. If we choose the ball possession to corners relation in Serie A and Eliteserien, then we get the following numbers: 8.33% of possession for 1 corner for Bode/Glimt (6th in the league), 10.03% of possession for 1 corner for Milan (11th place in the league). The first conclusion to be drawn from this is that Bode/Glimt are more likely to take corners than Milan.



Given that Milan is the clear favorite in the match, we can fairly confidently assume that Milan will have much more ball possession. Taking the expected 65% to 35% teams possession (as in Milan's previous League Europe match against Shamrock Rovers), we can calculate the expected number of corners based on the possession to corners ratio:

Milan: 65% / 10.03% = 6.48 corners
Bode/Glimt: 35% / 8.33% = 4.20 corners

Based on the calculated numbers, a bet on the team total corners of Bode/Glimt over 3.0 at the odds 1.75 looks attractive.
We hope you enjoyed our preview and discovered new insights. Have a nice football!

Statistical analysis of corners in EPL (general analysis, by parts of the season, by ratios of indicators, by match intervals)

The team of football statistics service Corner-stats.com welcomes all football fans in anticipation of the start of English Premier League, Spanish LaLiga and other championships.
The purpose of this preview is to analyze the statistics of corners in the Premier League of England in the season 2019/20, and we will do this using a variety of tools for statistics analysis of the service Corner-stats.com.
General analysis
First, let's take a look at the summary table of corners stats for the 2019/20 season (https://corner-stats.com/premier-league/england/tournament/1). Among the leaders on corners we see teams such as Manchester City, Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool, which attack a lot and sharply, as well as Wolverhampton, which does not take too many corners, but also does not allow opponents to take corners.
In terms of analysis of corners at home and away, we would like to highlight the teams Aston Villa and Sheffield United, which are much better at serving corners at home than at away, but Southampton, surprisingly, has much better results on corners at away.
Users of the Corner-stats.com service have the opportunity to compare the statistics of teams within a tournament separately by halves, 15-minutes intervals, or form any interval (from a minute to a minute of a match). We think it will not be difficult for you to understand these tools and determine right statistical trends.


 
Relations of indicators
So, we have identified the leaders on corners in the Premier League in the previous season, and there is nothing strange that among them there are mainly teams that have a lot of ball possession, attack and shoot on goal. However, we can neutralize these factors using the Corner-stats.com website's tool Relations of indicators. If we compare the teams in terms of the team percentage of ball possession / team corners, then among the leaders we will see Sheffield United (7.7% of possession for 1 corner) and Aston Villa (8.32% for 1 corner), while Manchester City is only in 3rd place, and Liverpool generally in the middle of the table. In terms of team shots / team corners, Sheffield United is also in the 1st place (the team needs 1.66 shots on average for 1 corner), while Manchester United has the worst rate (2.67 shots for 1 corner).
 


Total corners
Let's compare teams in terms of total corners in a match. The leader on this indicator is Arsenal (12.11 on avg.), but note that Arsenal had a lot of corners only under coach Unai Emery in the first half of the season (13.42), and after the appointment as head coach of Arteta, Arsenal's total corners decreased to the league average (10.86). We wrote more about this in our preview: https://corner-stats.com/filter-by-the-current-coach-of-a-team/info/311  The smallest total corners in Wolverhampton (8.97), which, as we noted above, delivers little corners and allows little to deliver opponents.
In addition, we want to note that in the first matches after the quarantine, the Premier League teams were delivering more corners (11.42 on average), we wrote about this in detail in our preview: https://corner-stats.com/teams-stats-comparison-before-and%20-after-the-quarantine/info/319  As a reminder, using the "Date from - Date to" filter, you can study the statistics of a tournament for various periods (the beginning of the season, the end of the season, matches in winter, matches after the quarantine, etc.).
Match intervals analysis
And finally, let's analyze how the teams were delivering corners in different situations in a match, namely, when the team was leading, playing in a draw or was losing. To do this, use the Match Intervals filter: https://corner-stats.com/match-intervals-filter-functionality-expanded/info/313  So, we have 3 clear leaders on corners on intervals when there was a draw in a match - Manchester City (+5.45), Liverpool (+2.72), Chelsea (+4.55). There is a very noticeable difference in corners of Manchester City when the team was winning (7.28 total corners and +2.43 handicap on corners), and when it was losing during a match (16.43 total and +12.4 handicap). But Newcastle is consistently losing on corners regardless of the score in a match (-2.09 at winning intervals, -3.09 at draw intervals, -2.03 at losing intervals).


 
We also draw your attention to the fact that none of the Premier League teams changed their coach before the start of the 2020/21 season, which is a positive factor in favor of maintaining the statistical trends of the teams of the last season.
Once again, congratulations to everyone on the start of the new football season, and we hope that our Premier League corners stats preview will help you to dig deeper into the team statistics and make money on it. Have a nice football!

Preview of national teams before the matches in UEFA Nations League (03-08/09/2020)

Corner-stats.com team once again welcomes all football fans and football statistics fans!
In the coming days, the European national teams will finally enter the field for the first time in 10 months, and they will do so in the framework of the League of Nations football tournament.
So, the national teams did not play in official or friendly matches in 2020, so we will analyze their statistics based on the qualifying matches for EURO 2020 (or already EURO 2021).
But first of all, we want to highlight 2 important factors for the upcoming matches. The first is, as we have already noted, a long break in the matches of the national teams, the second is the off-season in many European championships. When the Corner-stats.com team analyzed the English Premier League matches after the quarantine, we noted a decline of almost all indicators of teams (shots, corners, fouls, tackles ..) and, accordingly, the lowest pace of the game. If we add to this the fact that many players are now on vacation (in an incomprehensible form), we can assume that the play in the upcoming matches of the national teams also will be not very active, especially in the first half.
Since it is not clear which team is in what shape at the moment, this situation adds uncertainty to the outcome of the matches, so we think this is a good opportunity to catch a high odds on the winnings of outsiders.
To analyze the statistics of teams within the qualification for the European Championship-2020, we refer to the tournament page on the Corner-stats.com website  (we remind you that access to goal statistics, including goals by halves, intervals, as well as to the Profit from bets table and Basic handicap covering table is FREE for all our users, just register).



The Corner-stats.com team primarily wants to admit the Belgium national team. The team won all 10 matches in the group and also won all 10 first halves, 10 out of 10 matches on shots on target, 9 out of 10 matches on all shots and 9 out of 10 matches on corners. In addition, Belgium finished the qualification for the Euro with the lowest average team total cards (0.6). But among the roughest teams are Azerbaijan and Hungary. In addition, we draw your attention to the national teams of Estonia and Bulgaria, which have created the most offsides for their opponents (3.38 on average, actually at the level of Klopp's Liverpool).
If you do not want to risk too much, then wait for the second round of the League of Nations (in 4 days), when the alignment of forces will become clearer based on the matches of the 1st round.
We hope our preview was helpful to you and you can benefit from it. Have a nice football!