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Among other things, national team matches are also distinguished by a wide range of opponents. That is, a statistically average..
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Today we will talk about friendly matches of national teams. It’s often said that national teams prefer to play with a draw at friendly matches. It’s indeed true because at many matches coaches make experiments with a team squad, honing skills of the team and tournament place influences a bit on the match. Of course, bookmaker also takes it into attention that’s why let’s check if we could earn on this or not.
On the site Corner-stats.com for this purpose there is a very good tool called “Profit table”. Have chosen friendly matches of national teams (https://corner-stats.com/friendlies/national/tournament/69) for last three seasons (2015-2018) and profit on the tab “Goals”, you can see that a flat bet on a draw at all matches has brought profit in the amount of 47,26. As always, concentrate not on loss-making matches but only on profitable on draws ones, sorting profit on draws in descending order:
There are more than 50 such teams. Now let’s look which of them play with each other and on which bookmaker gave a line for FT market:
Date of the match |
Team 1 |
Team 2 |
Х |
Bookmaker |
24.03.2018 |
Israel |
Romunia |
3,2 |
Bet365 |
27.03.2018 |
England |
Italy |
3,3 |
Bet365 |
27.03.2018 |
Poland |
South Corea |
|
|
27.03.2018 |
Romania |
Sweden |
|
|
27.03.2018 |
Slovenia |
Belarus |
|
|
27.03.2018 |
Côte d'Ivoire |
Moldova |
|
|
Approximately 3.2 odds are expected on draws at the rest 4 matches.
The team of Corner-stats.com considers that minimum 2 out of 6 those matches will end with a draw that’s why bets on draws are attractive at those friendly matches.