21/10/2018. Real Betis - Valladolid. Primera Division (Spain). Corners

Today, the team of Corner-stats.com decided to talk about a very interesting team - Real Betis, namely about the possession of this team in the Spanish Primera.

In the 2018/19 season, Betis uses the tactics of holding the ball in the same way as Barcelona and Real Madrid.

What does possession have to do with corners? It is logical to assume that the more the team owns the ball, the less the opponent will approach its gate, which means it will have more corners.

But you can also control the ball in different ways - by attacking or keeping control in the center or in your own half of the field. Betis has a long time playing the ball in the center, the team has very few corners, which demonstrates its individual possession/corners ratio with a value of 14.5% per corner:

But for Valladolid, this individual indicator is almost half as much: 8.11%/corner.

In the last matches, Betis has more than 65% possession of the ball, but Valladolid also does not fall below 45%.

Given that the teams are neighbors in LaLiga table with the same number of points (we have the classic “match of 6 points”), we can expect a level play on the field, so it is logical to assume that the ball possesion will be around of 65%/35% (Betis/Valladolid).

From here, we find that Betis will have around 4.5 corners (65/14.5), while Valladolid will have 4.3 corners (35/8.11), which is estimated to indicate that teams will have approximately the same number of corners.

Given this, the odds of +2 on corners on Valladolid looks convincing. The team of the site Corner-stats.com considers the bet on asian handicap +2 on corners on Valladolid at odds 1.875 at Bet365 to be good.