22/10/17. LaLiga (Spain). Real Madrid - Eibar. Corners

Very often the question arises: "How is to estimate numerically more or less accurately the indicator?" in order to estimate the correctness of the offered prognosis. And the site Corner-stats.com proposes to use for this verification the tool “Relation of indicators”. After all, you can often estimate how long the team will possess the ball at the match. Then, if you know how many minutes each team needs for making passes, scoring goals and taking corners, etc., then you can roughly estimate these figures for the whole match, multiplying the possession of the ball by the desired indicator.

Let's try to do this for the match Real Madrid - Eibar.

For the beginning, we determine approximately how many percent of the time the teams will possess the ball. And here similar matches of a team we will help us. Going to the page of the match and selecting on the tab "Other -> Possession", for Real only home matches for the last two seasons in the section similar matches:

We can get average figure of 61% - this is the time percentage of Real Madrid’s ball possession.

By analogy, we define a value of 37% for Eibar with the help of filters (similar matches + seasons 2016-2018 + away matches + League).

As a result, we will assume that Real Madrid will possess the ball 62% of the time and Eibar will possess 38% of the time respectively.

 Now we determine how many percent of the time at the match teams need to own the ball to have 1 corner (individual total) based on the data for the last two seasons in the Spanish Premier League. For Real Madrid we will take home matches, and for Eibar - away matches.

To do this, on the tournament page of Spanish LaLiga select the seasons 2016/17 and 2017/18 and home matches and switch to the "Relations" tab by selecting the "Possession / Corners" relation:

As a result, we get for Real Madrid value 7.91%. So, you can estimate that Real Madrid will take 7.83 corners in the match (62% / 7.91%).

For Eibar, let's take away matches:

As a result, we get 4.21 corners in the match for Eibar (38% / 9.03%).

Based on this, the total corners in the match can be estimated as 12.04 corners, which benefited bet of total corners over 10.5.

With the goal of a detailed analysis, let's see what the statistics of the teams' games in the Spanish LaLiga about the bet of "total corners over 10.5": "

• 4 of 6 H2H matches in 2014-2017 seasons;
• 4 of 4 home matches of Real Madrid in 2017/18 seasons;
• 2 of 4 away matches of Eibar in 2017-18 seasons;
• 10 of 16 home matches of Real Madrid with the teams that are similar to Eibar in 2016-2017 years;
• 4 of 4 away matches of Eibar with the teams that are similar to Real in 2016-17 years.

The team of the site Corner-stats.com considers to bet on Asian total corners over 10.5 at 1.90 at Bet365.